is pennsylvania, a red or blue state 2020
[59][60][61], "Red state" and "Blue state" redirect here. A 2021 poll found that 52% of Trump voters and 41% of Biden voters support partitioning the United States into multiple countries based on political party lines. However, the combination of higher vote margins than Clinton in Tucson (Pima County) and Maricopa's flip from red to blue meant Biden still prevailed inthe state. During the Bush administration, the red-blue map was criticized by some[31] for exaggerating the perceived support for President Bush. While Hillary Clinton dominated in Philadelphia, winning 82%, she only took a 475,000-vote edge out of the city, compared Barack Obamas 492,000 vote advantage in 2012. [9] That same year, a color supplement included with a July issue of The Washington Post used red for Republican-favoring states, blue for Democratic-favoring states, yellow for "doubtful" states and green for territories that did not have a presidential vote.[10]. That's changed in recent years as political polarization has increased, resulting in red and blue strongholds with bigger victory margins. Special elections, if any, are excluded. With the caveat that we still know very, very little about Pennsylvania, let's zoom in on one county: Washington County, which is in the pro-Trump western part of the state. In 2008, Obama won in Iowa and New Hampshire by more than nine percentage points, and New Mexico by double digits. Given the general nature and common perception of the two parties, "red state" implies a conservative region or a more conservative American, and "blue state" implies a more liberal region or a more liberal American. All five of the aforementioned states were decided by 1% or less in the year (2016 or 2020) they came off this map. Report that just went out from the Pennsylvania Election Protection Coalition on issues today in the state: "Among the issues: Several polling places opened late. [34][35][36], In 1976, only 27 percent of U.S. voters lived in landslide counties, which increased to 39 percent by 1992. POLITICO's Live 2016 Pennsylvania Election Results and Maps by State, County and District. Traditionally, the practice of designating a U.S. state as red or blue is based on the first-past-the-post winner-take-all system employed for presidential elections by 48 of the 50 U.S. states and the District of Columbia. As a result, the blue counties tend to be the smaller ones so blue is visually less represented than it should be based on vote totals. During the 2016 presidential election, two districts (the first and second) gave Clinton over 80% and 90% of the vote. Three Michigan counties flipped from red to blue. Idaho solidifies its ranking as a top retirement state by offering many tax breaks for seniors. In the 2008 elections, both parties received at least 40% from all sizable socioeconomic demographics, except that McCain (Republican) received 37% from voters earning $15,000$30,000, and 25% from voters earning under $15,000, according to exit polling. By opting into newsletters you are agreeing to our. The Democratic states, comprising 242 electoral votes had all actually gone blue since 1992 - six straight elections. elections. This problem is compounded if the units are not equally significant. We identify swing states as. All states contain considerable amounts of both liberal and conservative voters (i.e., they are "purple") and only appear blue or red on the electoral map because of the winner-take-all system used by most states in the Electoral College. On Election Day, polls are open from 7 a.m. to 8 p.m. The Midwest has five states in the East North Central part of the region and seven in the West North Central. [25] All these facts should be taken into account when looking at election maps. Please enable JavaScript to properly view our site. This election cycle, voters in Pennsylvania were universally able to vote by mail in the general election. Eight of the states hardest hit by the coronavirusNew Jersey, Rhode Island, Massachusetts. The source defines a mass shooting as a shooting where three or more people. That solved the problem. We and our partners use cookies to Store and/or access information on a device. As of 2020, fully 35 out of 50 states in the U.S. have voted for the same party in every presidential election since the red-blue terminology was popularized in 2000. Three other regions were red before 2016 and got redder: the West, conservative Central Pennsylvania and the Dutch Country around Harrisburg and Lancaster. The reliably blue state in a presidential election was one of many flipped by President Donald Trump in his 2016 win. One smart PA Dem strategist told me he wanted Biden to get to 40% in the county. The following list is tabled from the last Presidential Election 2020. In previous elections, the color assignments or even the actual colors used were often different. The blue states scored better two ways higher overall average rankings vs. red states (No. Nebraska's 2nd district flipped back into the Republican column in 2012 and 2016, but supported Democrat Joe Biden in 2020. '"[20], There are several problems in creating and interpreting election maps. Turn on desktop notifications for breaking stories about interest? Virginia has continued voting for the Democratic presidential nominees (as well as increasingly electing Democrats at the state level), leading to its being reclassified as a blue state in recent years. From the 2000-2004 election only three states changed Color. Joe Biden won back Pennsylvania for Democrats in the 2020 election after President Donald Trump carried the state in 2016. Generally, the same held true for married versus single women, but a greater percentage of women overall voted for Obama than for McCain. Election maps often use a two-class color scheme (red and blue), which results in a map that is easy to read but is very generalized. Feelings of cultural and political polarization between red and blue states, which have gained increased media attention since the 2004 election, have resulted in increased mutual feelings of alienation and enmity. Not one! Use arrow keys to move around the map. Error! The 21st-century association of colors in American politics is contrary to the long-standing conventions of political color in most other countries whereby red symbols (such as the red flag or red star) are associated with leftist politics. This is still a substantial difference from the period 1960 to 1980 when every state, save for Arizona, voted for each party at least once. But Pennsylvania is now red. Prior to Election Day, the U.S. Supreme Court rejected a request by Pennsylvania Republicans to block a state court order that allows mail ballots arriving up to three days after Nov. 3 to be counted. What I want to know is the number out of Philly -- what margin is Joe Biden taking out of the state's largest city? This election cycle, according to Politico, the state is leaning slightly blue. Biden ended up securing a broad Electoral College victory, but only thanks to relatively small margins of victory in key swing states. How much does fracking register as an issue across the state in southeastern PA, in Philly and itssuburbs? Lancaster County is 52 percent Republican, 32 percent Democrat and 16 percent independents and others. But the cultural wounds cut the deepest, and are the most likely to drive working-class people to look at the coastal elites and say: "That. If you're curious how long the streak is for each state, visit our 'Same Since' Electoral Map Timeline. Trump, meanwhile, is trying to run up the score in those pro-fracking areas that already likehim. Anita What do you want to know? That year, the crime rate was 3,620.15 crimes per . But in western Pennsylvania, as well as the northeast, it's more popular and has led to a boom in some areas that have been struggling economically for a long time. [1] According to The Washington Post, journalist Tim Russert invented these terms during his televised coverage of the 2000 United States presidential election. 10. These "purple maps" are useful for showing the highly mixed nature of voting, but are extremely difficult to interpret in detail. Nov. 12, 2020, 11:00 AM UTC / . Some maps use more classes, such as shades of red and blue to indicate the degree of election victory. That's why it was interesting to see Trump rehash his line on fracking in Bucks County during a rally on Saturday. ", For example, Holly, one example from Jen OMalley Dillon, Bidens campaign manager, that implied they were still counting on Pa could be seen in this quote. And this basic arithmetic is in place even before voters factor in the disgraceful fact that VP candidate Kamala Harris is a self-admitted BLM-backed Marxist. The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee alluded to the color scheme when it launched a national Red to Blue Program in 2006. Likewise, Vermont, New York, Massachusetts, Maryland, and Hawaii all voted for Democrat Kerry by wide margins, but all had Republican governors at the time. Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin and one district in Maine voted Republican in 2016. Archie Tse, The New York Times graphics editor who made the choice when the Times published its first color presidential election map in 2000, provided a nonpolitical rationale for retaining the redRepublican link, explaining that "Both 'Republican' and 'red' start with the letter 'R. During Election Day in 2016, Democrats reported good turnout in Philadelphia, and Clinton actually pulled out almost as many raw votes out of Philly as Obama in 2012. Tennessee. Pennsylvania's CPVI is R+2. Popular vote data are necessarily aggregated at several levels, such as counties and states, which are then colored to show election results. While they may have voted for Biden in 2020, they did so by margins smaller than his. Which ones are more politically competitive? We may be entering the brief "blue mirage" portion of the night, where Biden deceptively looks like he's doing well because counties first report the mail ballots they've been counting all day, and Biden supporters disproportionately voted by mail. This threshold varies by state and is based on patterns of past vote reporting and expectations about . 2023 Electoral Ventures LLC. Obama also came close to winning Missouri and Montana, losing both by a small margin. Most issues involving misunderstandings or miscommunication about voting rules and laws were resolved by Election Task Force prosecutors by phone, and DAO prosecutors and detectives also responded to investigate incidents at polling sites in all six Philadelphia Police divisions. A measuring device or measuring instrument is a device to measure a physical quantity or degree of something in our lives every day. Maps of this type are termed choropleth maps, which have several well-known problems that can result in interpretation bias. On election night that year, there was no coordinated effort to code Democratic states blue and Republican states red; the association gradually emerged. Taking Biden at face value about Michigan and Wisconsin where, for what it's worth (not that much), the exit poll data looks pretty good for him and he came in with a significant polling lead here's where the map goes: If Biden wins those two, plus Maine, Nevada and Arizona, but nothing else, he's at 269 electoral votes. Purple states are also often referred to as "battleground" states. All Rights Reserved. Will Pennsylvania be red or blue in 2020? Data: MIT Election Data and Science Lab / Harvard Dataverse through 2018; 270toWin research. Your California Privacy Rights/Privacy Policy. The map was placed in the network's election-night news studio. But Biden didn't get to 40% like the strategist wanted (and which Obama got beyondtwice). Update: Philadelphia officials tell me they will report more mail-in ballot results betweenmidnight and 1 a.m. In recent elections, there have been a dozen or more truly competitive battlegrounds which could result in many various paths to 270 electoral votes. by The Hill staff - 10/24/14 6:00 AM ET. Thats a point that they made. The Keystone State became one of the three collapsed Democratic Blue Wall states that handed Trump the election. polls closed in Calif., Idaho, Ore., Wash. polls closed in Ariz., Colo., Kan., La., Mich., Minn., Neb., N.M., N.Y., N.D., S.D., Texas, Wis., Wyo. So he has a little cushion there to workwith. There was one historical use, associated with boss rule, of blue for Democrats and red for Republicans: during the late 19th century and early 20th century, Texas county election boards used color-coding to help Spanish-speaking and illiterate voters identify the parties;[8] however, this system was not applied consistently in Texas and was not replicated in any other state. The lack of clear classes make these purple maps prone to the problems of color perception described above. Where the 'Blue Wall' Was Strongest, and Where Cracks Appeared. The exceptions were New Mexico (Al Gore in 2000 and Bush in 2004), Iowa (Gore in 2000 and Bush in 2004), and New Hampshire (Bush in 2000 and Kerry in 2004). Eight of the districts gave Trump 58% or higher. Which means he's a Nebraska-02 (where he's currently leading) away from hitting 270 on the number, WITHOUT Pennsylvania and Maine's 2ndDistrict. By Allan James Vestal, Andrew Briz, Annette Choi, Beatrice Jin, Andrew McGill and Lily Mihalik. Both parties have since adopted logos that use their respective colors (a blue "D" for Democrats[56] and a red "GOP" for Republicans). With 100% of precincts reporting, Trump won the state with . In 2020, the state with the highest crime rate in the United States per 100,000 inhabitants was New Mexico. These are general election results for the years listed. Neither party national committee has officially accepted these color designations, though informal use by each party is becoming common. In the three presidential elections since 2008, Indiana and North Carolina went back to supporting Republicans. This threshold varies by state and is based on patterns of past vote reporting and expectations about how the vote will report this year. In September, just eight states had. Is Missouri a red state? It is now seen that the Democratic Blue and Republican Red color scheme is now part of the lexicon of American journalism. All states contain considerable amounts of both liberal and conservative voters (i.e., they are "purple") and only appear blue or red on the electoral map because of the winner-take-all system used by most states in the Electoral College. The Tennessee Department of Health reports that 1,451 people died of drug overdose within the state in 2015. While I had less reporting on this, high turnout was also reported in the red parts of the state, too. A free app to create, analyze and share redistricting maps for any state. The only deviations from the preexisting red-blue paradigm were all in Obama's favor. Crime rate U.S. 2020, by state. But two of those five losing states that voted for Trump Michigan and Pennsylvania surprised most analysts since they have been blue-leaners for several years. All but 10 states1 1Plus one congressional district in Nebraska had voted consistently Democratic or Republican for (at least) the prior four consecutive presidential elections. Eight of the districts gave Trump 58% or higher. But in 2016, although Hillary Clinton won Latino voters by roughly 30 points, turnout was remarkably . Similarly, one state south, 56.45 percent of Oregon voters chose Joe Biden in 2020 compared to just 40.37 percent for Donald Trump. With proper treatments well known including proper dosages (vs. WHO stating in 1979 the potentially lethal dose of HCQ was 1500-2000 mg then attempted a study at 2400 mg in one day, that was designed to both fail and kill.) Red states vs. blue states. The answer, of course, is yes they are both of those. Turn on desktop notifications for breaking stories about interest? Cash, Money, Green: How Will You Feel in Retirement? Two counties flipped from red to blue: Erie, in Pennsylvania's northwestern corner, and Northampton, in eastern Pennsylvania. Pennsylvania was one of the most closely watched states throughout the 2020 election. In Maine, two of the four electoral votes are awarded to the winner of the statewide popular vote and one electoral vote is awarded to the winner in each of the state's two congressional districts. And West Virginia is losing. The Blue States and the Red States are referred to as states of the U.S. whose voters predominantly choose either the Democratic Party (Blue) or Republican Party (Red) for Presidential and Senatorial Candidates. We may not know results in PA fordays. The analysis that suggests political, cultural and demographic differences between the states is more accurate when applied to smaller geographical areas. With all eyes on Georgia and the upcoming Senate runoffs slated for Jan. 5, 2021, Emory College Dean Michael A. Elliott hosted a panel discussion Dec. 2 examining Georgia's new swing-state status and future role in American politics from business, marketing . It is not a red state. The paradigm has been criticised on several fronts. [33] The polarization has been present for only four close elections (2000, 2004, 2016, and 2020). The advent of color television in America during the late 1950s and early 1960s prompted television news reporters to rely on color-coded electoral maps, though sources conflict as to the conventions they used. Data: Wikipedia through 2018; 270toWin research. Richard C. Young is the editor of Young's World Money Forecast, and a contributing editor to both Richardcyoung.com and Youngresearch.com. Gray indicates available electoral votes that were either not cast or cast for a candidate not on the ballot. Includes 2016 Races for President, Senate, House, Governor and Key Ballot Measures. Special elections, if any, are excluded. Anita Trump aides were claiming high turnout in Republican areas in Luzerne, which is one of the three counties that flipped from supporting Obama to Trump in 2016. Despite the prevalent winner-take-all practice, the minority always gets a sizable vote. The "blue wall" went blue once again Democratic. It is 62 percent Republican, 25 percent Democrat and 13 percent other. Pennsylvania's CPVI is R+2. The Democratic states, comprising 242 electoral votes had all actually gone blue since 1992 - six straight elections. China Hopes Recovery Dims Memories of Zero COVID Debacle, Industry Races to Diversify Away from China. The four "mega-states" have established rival and increasingly polarized visions of state government-one blue, the other red. Both campaigns have armies of attorneys at the ready for PA and other states. Press Enter to view state-level map. CATO INSTITUTE: Central Bank Digital Currencies Are a Threat to Freedom. I think most of these states that we have either red or blue are going to be up for grabs. The key swing region is the. Former Governor Ed Rendell gives his take. Earlier this year, one election official said the rule could result in upwards of 100,000 mail-in ballots being thrown out. The demographic and political applications of the terms have resulted in a temptation to presume this arbitrary classification is a definite and fundamental cultural division. But also, the early voter turnout we're seeing has been - seems to have been a factor. On August 5, the risk of death in red states was 1.8 times higher than in blue. Biden didn't flip any counties in Georgia. Pennsylvanias demographic makeup has not altered dramatically in just four short years. In 1980, when John Anderson had a relatively well publicized campaign as an independent candidate, at least one network indicated provisionally that they would use yellow if he were to win a state.
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